Britain can legally walk
away from the European Union without paying a penny if there is no
post-Brexit agreement, a House of Lords inquiry has concluded.
The Lords EU Financial
Affairs Sub Committee said the UK would be in a “strong” legal position
if the two-year Article 50 withdrawal negotiations ended without a deal.
It warned, however, that
failure to reach an agreement Bon financial terms would undermine the
Government’s aim of securing continued favourable access to EU markets.
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“Although there are
competing interpretations, we conclude that if agreement is not reached,
all EU law - including provisions concerning ongoing financial
contributions and machinery for adjudication - will cease to apply, and
the UK would be subject to no enforceable obligation to make any
financial contribution at all,” it said.
“This would be undesirable
for the remaining member states, who would have to decide how to plug
the hole in the budget created by the UK’s exit without any kind of
transition. It would also damage the prospects of reaching friendly
agreement on other issues.
“Nonetheless, the ultimate
possibility of the UK walking away from negotiations without incurring
financial commitments provides an important context.”
While it has been reported
that the European Commission’s chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier is
seeking a 60 billion euro (£52 billion) “exit bill” from Britain, the
committee said all estimates of the cost of withdrawal were “hugely
speculative”.
Some member states could
seek to bring a legal action against the UK for outstanding liabilities
if it refused to pay, although the committee said it was “questionable”
whether any international court could have jurisdiction, while
international law was “slow to litigate and hard to enforce”.
The sub-committee chairman,
Baroness Falkner of Margravine, said: “Even though we consider that the
UK will not be legally obliged to pay into the EU budget after Brexit,
the issue will be a prominent factor in withdrawal negotiations.
“The Government will have to
set the financial and political costs of making such payments against
potential gains from other elements of the negotiations.
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